After a week off, Formula 1 will return for the 2024 Miami Grand Prix at Miami International Autodrome on Sunday at 4 p.m. ET. One of the newer events on the F1 schedule, the Miami Grand Prix has mimicked Monaco in some ways with its lavishness and you can expect to see some big stars in attendance throughout the weekend. On the Miami Grand Prix starting grid, the biggest star by a long stretch is Max Verstappen, who is the three-time defending world champion, who has won 48 of the last 70 grand prix held in Formula 1.
Verstappen has won this race in both years that it's been held and he's the -600 favorite (bet $600 to win $100) in the 2024 Miami Grand Prix odds with wins in four of five races already this season. He's followed in this week's F1 odds by teammate Sergio Perez (+1200), Ferrari's Charles Leclerc (+1800) and McLaren's Lando Norris (+1800). Before analyzing the 2024 Miami Grand Prix starting grid and making any Formula 1 picks, be sure to check out the latest 2024 Miami GP predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven projection model.
Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary Formula 1 prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results. It's had a strong history of success in motorsports, correctly predicting nine NASCAR winners since the 2021 season and its projected leaderboards have forecasted winners across multiple racing formats.
The model has been scorching hot when it comes to picking Formula 1 race events dating back to 2021. It nailed both of Charles Leclerc's wins in 2022, and at the 2021 Mexican Grand Prix, the model was strongly backing Verstappen as its top pick. The result: Verstappen dominated the field and ran away with a surprise victory.
The model followed that up by calling Verstappen's win at the Rolex Emilia Romagna GP in April and then nailed his wins again in Belgium, the Netherlands, Japan, the United States, Mexico and Abu Dhabi. It also nailed all 19 of Verstappen's wins during the 2023 season and then called all four of the defending champion's wins to start the 2024 season. Anyone who followed the model's lead on those plays has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has dialed in on the 2024 Formula 1 Miami Grand Prix and just released its coveted picks and leaderboard projections. You can head to SportsLine now to see the 2024 Miami Grand Prix projected leaderboard.
Top 2024 Formula 1 Miami GP predictions
One surprise: The model is fading Norris, predicting he doesn't even make the podium even though he's one of the top favorites at +1800. Norris is coming off his best finish of the season two weeks ago in Shanghai, finishing second in the Chinese Grand Prix for his second podium finish of the season.
However, he finished fifth or worse in his other three starts and he's missed the podium in five of his last seven starts. Even worse, Norris has had terrible luck at the Miami Grand Prix. He was retired from the race in 2022 because of a collision with Pierre Gasly and then finished 17th in 2023 and was 1:27 off the pace after suffering damage following contact with Nyck de Vries.See who else the model is backing and fading at the 2024 Miami Grand Prix right here.
How to make 2024 Miami Grand Prix picks
Instead, the model is targeting a driver going off longer than 40-1 to make a surprising surge up the leaderboard. Anyone who backs him could hit it big. You can find out who he is, and see all of the model's F1 picks and predictions, at SportsLine.
So who wins the Miami Grand Prix 2024, and which stunning longshot charges toward the front? Check out the latest 2024 F1 odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2024 Miami Grand Prix leaderboard, all from the model that nailed all 19 of Verstappen's wins last season, and find out.
2024 Formula 1 Miami Grand Prix odds, grid, contenders
See F1 Miami Grand Prix picks at SportsLine.
Max Verstappen -600
Sergio Perez +1200
Charles Leclerc +1800
Lando Norris +1800
Carlos Sainz +2200
Lewis Hamilton +4000
George Russell +4000
Oscar Piastri +5000
Fernando Alonso +6600
Lance Stroll +30000
Yuki Tsunoda +75000
Daniel Ricciardo +75000
Kevin Magnussen +100000
Pierre Gasly +100000
Nico Hulkenberg +100000
Alexander Albon +100000
Guanyu Zhou +100000
Esteban Ocon +100000
Valtteri Bottas +100000
Logan Sargeant +150000
